Quarterly report [Sections 13 or 15(d)]

Warrant Liability (Tables)

v3.25.1
Warrant Liability (Tables)
3 Months Ended
Mar. 31, 2025
Warrant Liability [Abstract]  
Schedule of Valuation Inputs into the Black Scholes Model for the Liability

The Company uses a third-party valuation expert to assist in the determination of the fair value of the Warrants. The tables below summarize the valuation inputs into the Black Scholes model for the liability associated with the three tranches of Warrants at December 31, 2024, and March 31, 2025.

 

Tranche A Warrant   At
December 31,
2024
    At
March 31,
2025
 
Fair value of underlying stock   $ 0.79     $ 0.57  
Exercise price   $ 0.54     $ 0.54  
Volatility     105.4% – 111.3 %     71.2% – 104.7 %
Risk free rate     4.2 %     4.0% – 4.3 %
Dividend yield     0 %     0 %
Term (in years)     0.5 – 1.5       0.2 – 1.2  
Discount for lack of marketability     7.5 %     7.5 %
Probability for FDA approval     38.48% - 39.29 %     38.48% - 39.29 %
Tranche B Warrant   At
December 31,
2024
    At
March 31,
2025
 
Fair value of underlying stock   $ 0.79     $ 0.57  
Exercise price   $ 0.59     $ 0.59  
Volatility     105.4% - 125.2 %     103.1% - 104.7 %
Risk free rate     4.2 %     4.0% - 4.1 %
Dividend yield     0 %     0 %
Term (in years)     1.0 - 2.0       0.8 - 1.8  
Discount for lack of marketability     7.5 %     7.5 %
Probability for FDA approval     30 %     30.0 %

 

Tranche C Warrant   At
December 31,
2024
    At
March 31,
2025
 
Fair value of underlying stock   $ 0.79     $ 0.57  
Exercise price   $ 0.74     $ 0.74  
Volatility     105.4% - 125.2 %     103.1% - 122.3 %
Risk free rate     4.2 %     3.9% - 4.0 %
Dividend yield     0 %     0 %
Term (in years)     1.5 – 2.5       1.2 – 2.2  
Discount for lack of marketability     7.5 %     7.5 %
Probability for FDA approval     0.01% - 27.46 %     0.01% - 27.46 %
Schedule of Issuable Preferred Stock Warrants

The following table summarizes activity for the Company’s preferred stock warrants for the three months ended March 31, 2024:

 

                Weighted-        
    Number of           Average        
    Shares     Weighted-     Remaining     Aggregate  
    Underlying     Average     Contractual     Intrinsic  
    Outstanding     Exercise     Term     Value  
    Warrants     Price     (in Years)     (in thousands)  
Outstanding, December 31, 2024     160,958,167     $ 0.64       2.12     $
 
 
Warrants contingently issuable    
-
     
-
     
-
     
-
 
Warrants exercised    
-
     
-
     
-
     
-
 
Outstanding, March 31, 2025     160,958,167     $ 0.64       1.88     $